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Home › England › Premier League › Sunderland — Manchester City

Predictions by Market: Sunderland vs Manchester City

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Thu 01 Jan · 20:00
0:0
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
D W W D L Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SUN
9%
Best 8.00
Draw
20%
Best 4.90
Away Win · MCI
71%
Best 1.40
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.80
Fair odds
4.49
book 4.80 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 22% · EV +7.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (78%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.1%
Odds 4.87
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 9.2%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.2%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 9.2%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 29.3%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SUN – MCI @ 4.80
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →