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Home › Italy › Serie A › Udinese — Juventus

Udinese vs Juventus 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Udinese
Udinese
Home · last 5 D W W L L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 19:45
0:1
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
D D W L D Away · last 5
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli · Udine Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 67% · book 1.60 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.05 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 48% · book 2.07 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.66 – 3.08
Δ −2.42
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.60 — +6.8% better than the market.

Juventus enter this Serie A clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive threat, despite Udinese's slight home momentum. Juventus' pressing and defensive solidity could challenge Udinese's attack, which has struggled recently. The match may lean towards a controlled tempo with moderate goal potential, given balanced recent form and cautious odds on over 2.5 goals.

  • Juventus' superior quality and attack vs Udinese's defense
  • Udinese's home form shows signs of resilience
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.60 ✓ Cashed
AI 67% Implied 63% +0.60u
+60%
ROI on stake

Lineups

UDI 3-1-4-2 · JUV 3-4-2-1
Subs used · UDI
67' Miller ↑ · Ekkelenkamp ↓
67' Arizala ↑ · Kamara ↓
76' Piotrowski ↑ · Karlstrom ↓
76' Mlacic ↑ · Zarraga ↓
84' Gueye ↑ · Atta ↓
Subs used · JUV
49' Koopmeiners ↑ · Thuram ↓
78' Miretti ↑ · Conceicao ↓
79' Gatti ↑ · Boga ↓
90+2' David ↑ · Cambiaso ↓
90+2' Kostic ↑ · Yildiz ↓

Statistics

UDI 0 – 1 JUV
44%
Possession (%)
56%
0.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.08
10
Total Shots
22
2
Shots on Target
8
7
Shots off Target
9
4
Shots Inside Box
16
2
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Yellow Cards
1
7
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 0 – 1
Nicolò Zaniolo
Yellow Card
▮
32'
38'
⚽
J. Boga
Assist · K. Yildiz · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
49'
⇄
T. Koopmeiners ↓ · K. Thuram ↑
Substitution 1
L. Miller ↓ · J. Ekkelenkamp ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
67'
J. Arizala ↓ · H. Kamara ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
J. Piotrowski ↓ · J. Karlstrom ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
B. Mlacic ↓ · O. Zarraga ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
78'
⇄
F. Miretti ↓ · F. Conceicao ↑
Substitution 2
79'
⇄
F. Gatti ↓ · J. Boga ↑
Substitution 3
I. Gueye ↓ · A. Atta ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
Branimir Mlačić
Yellow Card
▮
88'
90'
▮
Lloyd Kelly
Yellow Card
Christian Kabasele
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
90+2'
⇄
J. David ↓ · A. Cambiaso ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
⇄
F. Kostic ↓ · K. Yildiz ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Juventus won 1–0 away at Udinese. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.08 to 0.66. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 10, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Boga (38').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.35 units (Brier 0.154).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.60 — 67% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.05 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.07 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.94 — 51% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 — 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.60 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.15 — 89% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.20 — 67% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.32 — 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 — 72% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Draw 4.34 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.55 — 26% Cashed +2.55 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.80 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 6.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.87 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.35u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
UDI – JUV @ 1.60
+6.8%
Edge
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