P
Prognosist
P
Home Italy Serie A Napoli — Lecce

Predictions Napoli vs Lecce March 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 17:00
2:1
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Rosario Abisso, Italy
Home Win · NAP
74%
Best 1.41
Draw
20%
Best 4.53
Away Win · LEC
7%
Best 9.20
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.76
Fair odds
1.59
book 1.76 · +10.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 63% · EV +10.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.7%
Odds 5.01
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 6.7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 63%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 37%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.6%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.5%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 17.8%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.82
Show model details
Implied probability 35.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 6.7%
Odds 6.95
Show model details
Implied probability 14.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
NAP – LEC @ 1.76
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →