Match Lecce vs Cremonese March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.69 — +9.0% better than the market.

Lecce hosts Cremonese in a Serie A clash where defensive solidity might dominate. Lecce's home edge is noticeable, with a compact backline likely to challenge Cremonese's sharper attack. Recent form favors Cremonese slightly, but Lecce's home momentum and better defensive metrics suggest a tight contest. Expect a cautious tempo given the odds leaning towards fewer goals.

Lecce's defensive resilience at home
Cremonese's attacking threat vs solid defense
Modest recent form gap with home advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.69 ✗ Lost

AI 64% Implied 59% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEC 4-2-3-1 · CRE 3-5-2

LEC · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · CRE

9 Štulić ⚽

Subs used · LEC

65'

Cheddira ↑ ·

Stulic ↓

78'

Gandelman ↑ ·

Banda ↓

78'

Jean ↑ ·

Pierotti ↓

89'

Fofana ↑ ·

Coulibaly ↓

Subs used · CRE

46'

Zerbin ↑ ·

Bianchetti ↓

46'

Djuric ↑ ·

Vardy ↓

46'

Payero ↑ ·

Vandeputte ↓

62'

Okereke ↑ ·

Thorsby ↓

74'

Sanabria ↑ ·

Pezzella ↓

📊 Statistics

LEC 2 – 1 CRE

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.60

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.96

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

69%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 2 – 1

-5'

▮

Giuseppe Pezzella

Red Card

S. Pierotti

Assist · A. Gallo · 1–0

⚽

22'

N. Stulic (P)

Penalty · 2–0

⚽

38'

44'

▮

Matteo Bianchetti

Yellow Card

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

A. Zerbin ↓ · M. Bianchetti ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

M. Djuric ↓ · J. Vardy ↑

Substitution 2

46'

⇄

M. Payero ↓ · J. Vandeputte ↑

Substitution 3

47'

⚽

F. Bonazzoli

Assist · M. Djuric · 2–1

Jamil Siebert

Yellow Card

▮

45+4'

53'

▮

Milan Đurić

Yellow Card

62'

⇄

D. Okereke ↓ · M. Thorsby ↑

Substitution 4

W. Cheddira ↓ · N. Stulic ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

74'

⇄

A. Sanabria ↓ · G. Pezzella ↑

Substitution 5

O. Gandelman ↓ · L. Banda ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

G. Jean ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

78'

S. Fofana ↓ · L. Coulibaly ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

89'

90+6'

▮

Francesco Folino

Yellow Card

90+6'

▮

Sebastiano Luperto

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Lecce beat Cremonese 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.60 to 0.96. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: S. Pierotti (22'), N. Stulic (38'), F. Bonazzoli (47'). Giuseppe Pezzella was sent off in the -5' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.04 units (Brier 0.232).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.69	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.54	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.74	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.80	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.61	—	54%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Home Win	2.25	—	38%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.27	—	36%	Cashed	+1.27	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.77	—	28%	Cashed	+1.77	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.50	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.14	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	6.75	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.05	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	67%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.18	—	87%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.13	—	83%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.48	—	38%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.04u	−18% ROI