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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Lecce — Cremonese

Match Lecce vs Cremonese March 8, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 11:30
2:1
Full-time
Cremonese
Cremonese
L L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Simone Sozza, Italy
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 64% · book 1.69 ✗
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 46% · book 2.54 ✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 62% · book 1.74 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.60 – 0.96
Δ +0.64
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.69 — +9.0% better than the market.

Lecce hosts Cremonese in a Serie A clash where defensive solidity might dominate. Lecce's home edge is noticeable, with a compact backline likely to challenge Cremonese's sharper attack. Recent form favors Cremonese slightly, but Lecce's home momentum and better defensive metrics suggest a tight contest. Expect a cautious tempo given the odds leaning towards fewer goals.

  • Lecce's defensive resilience at home
  • Cremonese's attacking threat vs solid defense
  • Modest recent form gap with home advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.69 ✗ Lost
AI 64% Implied 59% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEC 4-2-3-1 · CRE 3-5-2
LEC · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · CRE 30 Falcone 17 Veiga 5 Siebert 44 Gabriel 25 Gallo 20 Ramadani 79 Ngom 50 Pierotti ⚽ 29 Coulibaly 19 Banda 9 Štulić ⚽ 1 Audero 15 Bianchetti 55 Folino 5 Luperto 4 Barbieri 2 Thorsby 27 Vandeputte 29 Maleh 3 Pezzella 10 Vardy 90 Bonazzoli ⚽
Subs used · LEC
65' Cheddira ↑ · Stulic ↓
78' Gandelman ↑ · Banda ↓
78' Jean ↑ · Pierotti ↓
89' Fofana ↑ · Coulibaly ↓
Subs used · CRE
46' Zerbin ↑ · Bianchetti ↓
46' Djuric ↑ · Vardy ↓
46' Payero ↑ · Vandeputte ↓
62' Okereke ↑ · Thorsby ↓
74' Sanabria ↑ · Pezzella ↓

📊 Statistics

LEC 2 – 1 CRE
41%
Possession (%)
59%
1.60
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.96
9
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
19
Fouls
27
69%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
1
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

18 · 2 – 1
-5'
▮
Giuseppe Pezzella
Red Card
S. Pierotti
Assist · A. Gallo · 1–0
⚽
22'
N. Stulic (P)
Penalty · 2–0
⚽
38'
44'
▮
Matteo Bianchetti
Yellow Card
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
A. Zerbin ↓ · M. Bianchetti ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
M. Djuric ↓ · J. Vardy ↑
Substitution 2
46'
⇄
M. Payero ↓ · J. Vandeputte ↑
Substitution 3
47'
⚽
F. Bonazzoli
Assist · M. Djuric · 2–1
Jamil Siebert
Yellow Card
▮
45+4'
53'
▮
Milan Đurić
Yellow Card
62'
⇄
D. Okereke ↓ · M. Thorsby ↑
Substitution 4
W. Cheddira ↓ · N. Stulic ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
74'
⇄
A. Sanabria ↓ · G. Pezzella ↑
Substitution 5
O. Gandelman ↓ · L. Banda ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
78'
G. Jean ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
S. Fofana ↓ · L. Coulibaly ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
89'
90+6'
▮
Francesco Folino
Yellow Card
90+6'
▮
Sebastiano Luperto
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.69 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.54 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.74 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.80 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.61 — 54% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Home Win 2.25 — 38% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.27 — 36% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.77 — 28% Cashed +1.77 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.50 — 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.14 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 6.75 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.05 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.27 — 67% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.18 — 87% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.13 — 83% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.48 — 38% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.50 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.04u −18% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
LEC – CRE @ 1.69
+9.0%
Edge
Forecast →