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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Fiorentina — Parma

Match Fiorentina vs Parma March 8, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 14:00
0:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.84
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.92
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.96
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.30 – 0.12
Δ +1.18
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Fiorentina holds a clear quality edge over Parma, boosted by a strong defensive setup that should contain Parma's modest attack. Despite Parma's slightly better recent form, Fiorentina's home momentum and superior offensive potential suggest they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Fiorentina's pressing and set-piece threat could be decisive.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive limitations
  • Fiorentina's home rhythm and pressing edge
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

FIO 4-1-4-1 · PAR 3-1-4-2
Subs used · FIO
64' Fabbian ↑ · Mandragora
81' Fazzini ↑ · Harrison
86' Brescianini ↑ · Ndour
86' Comuzzo ↑ · Pongracic
Subs used · PAR
54' Ordonez ↑ · Nicolussi Caviglia
72' Elphege ↑ · Pellegrino
72' Oristanio ↑ · Strefezza
82' Estevez ↑ · Sorensen

📊 Statistics

FIO 00 PAR
57%
Possession (%)
43%
1.30
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.12
12
Total Shots
5
1
Shots on Target
0
6
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
1
7
Corner Kicks
0
12
Fouls
13
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

10 · 0 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
54'
C. Ordonez ↓ · H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↑
Substitution 1
Rolando Mandragora
Yellow Card
61'
G. Fabbian ↓ · R. Mandragora ↑
Substitution 1
64'
72'
N. Elphege ↓ · M. Pellegrino ↑
Substitution 2
72'
G. Oristanio ↓ · G. Strefezza ↑
Substitution 3
J. Fazzini ↓ · J. Harrison ↑
Substitution 2
81'
82'
N. Estevez ↓ · O. Sorensen ↑
Substitution 4
M. Brescianini ↓ · C. Ndour ↑
Substitution 3
86'
P. Comuzzo ↓ · M. Pongracic ↑
Substitution 4
86'
Dodô
Yellow Card
90'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.84 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.92 55% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
BTTS No 1.96 53% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.03 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.89 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.15 38% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.21 86% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.55 29% Cashed +2.55 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.28 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 75% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.50 9% Cashed +9.50 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 91% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.85 25% Cashed +2.85 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.45 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.48 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.98 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +9.47u +56% ROI