Match Bologna vs Hellas Verona March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.87 — +7.3% better than the market.

Bologna arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a notable edge in squad quality over Verona. Their offensive firepower faces a less resilient Verona defense, suggesting chances to break through. Verona's struggles on the road and patchy form add to Bologna's advantage, while the match pace hints at a balanced tempo with moderate goal potential.

Bologna's solid defense likely to contain Verona's attack.
Home confidence and form favor Bologna's control.
Verona's away challenges may limit scoring opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.87 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BOL 4-1-4-1 · VER 5-3-2

BOL · 4-1-4-1 5-3-2 · VER

9 Castro

Subs used · BOL

66'

Bernardeschi ↑ ·

Orsolini ↓

66'

Sohm ↑ ·

Ferguson ↓

77'

Lykogiannis ↑ ·

Zortea ↓

77'

Dominguez ↑ ·

Rowe ↓

84'

Pobega ↑ ·

Vitik ↓

Subs used · VER

74'

Suslov ↑ ·

Harroui ↓

82'

Valentini ↑ ·

Oyegoke ↓

82'

Sarr ↑ ·

Bowie ↓

90+4'

Musrati ↑ ·

Orban ↓

📊 Statistics

BOL 1 – 2 VER

68%

Possession (%)

32%

1.28

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.98

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

62%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 2

16'

▮

Kieron Bowie

Yellow Card

Lewis Ferguson

Yellow Card

▮

40'

42'

▮

Abdou Harroui

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

J. Rowe

Assist · N. Zortea · 1–0

⚽

49'

53'

⚽

M. Frese

1–1

57'

⚽

K. Bowie

Assist · G. Orban · 1–2

F. Bernardeschi ↓ · R. Orsolini ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

S. Sohm ↓ · L. Ferguson ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

74'

⇄

T. Suslov ↓ · A. Harroui ↑

Substitution 1

C. Lykogiannis ↓ · N. Zortea ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

B. Dominguez ↓ · J. Rowe ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

82'

⇄

N. Valentini ↓ · D. Oyegoke ↑

Substitution 2

82'

⇄

A. Sarr ↓ · K. Bowie ↑

Substitution 3

T. Pobega ↓ · M. Vitik ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

90+4'

⇄

Al Musrati ↓ · G. Orban ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Hellas Verona won 2–1 away at Bologna. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.98 to 1.28. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 15, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Rowe (49'), M. Frese (53'), K. Bowie (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +5.43 units (Brier 0.319).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.87	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.75	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.19	—	43%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.10	—	43%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.55	—	33%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Home Win	1.59	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.55	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	89%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.21	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	78%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	4.25	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.37	—	69%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.70	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.00	—	11%	Cashed	+6.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	4.82	—	11%	Cashed	+3.82	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+5.43u	+32% ROI