Nottingham Forest vs Everton 0:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.77 — +11.0% better than the market.

Nottingham Forest hosts Everton in a tight Premier League clash at City Ground. Despite Everton's slight quality edge and better recent form, Forest's home defensive solidity and higher expected goals suggest a compact, tactical battle. The home side's pressing and set-piece threat could challenge Everton's defense, which has been leaky. Expect a cautious pace with limited clear-cut chances as both sides seek to avoid mistakes.

Forest's defensive resilience at home
Everton's marginal quality advantage
Moderate goal environment favors tight contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.77 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 57% +0.77u

+77%

ROI on stake

Lineups

NOT 4-2-3-1 · EVE 4-2-3-1

NOT · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · EVE

19 Jesus

Subs used · NOT

46'

Luiz ↑ ·

Dominguez ↓

62'

Awoniyi ↑ ·

Jesus ↓

75'

Bakwa ↑ ·

Hudson-Odoi ↓

Subs used · EVE

72'

Grealish ↑ ·

Patterson ↓

85'

Beto ↑ ·

Barry ↓

Statistics

NOT 0 – 2 EVE

70%

Possession (%)

30%

1.91

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.44

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

8 · 0 – 2

19'

⚽

J. Garner

Assist · D. McNeil · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

Douglas Luiz ↓ · N. Dominguez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Douglas Luiz

Yellow Card

▮

61'

T. Awoniyi ↓ · Igor Jesus ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

72'

⇄

J. Grealish ↓ · N. Patterson ↑

Substitution 1

D. Bakwa ↓ · C. Hudson-Odoi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

79'

⚽

T. Barry

Assist · J. Garner · 0–2

85'

⇄

Beto ↓ · T. Barry ↑

Substitution 2

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Everton won 2–0 away at Nottingham Forest. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 11, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: J. Garner (19'), T. Barry (79').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.39 units (Brier 0.167).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.77	—	63%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	54%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.73	—	59%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.69	—	35%	Cashed	+1.69	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.30	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.98	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.23	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.70	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.75	—	35%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.10	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	67%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	79%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	89%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.37	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.20	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.39u	−8% ROI

Nottingham Forest vs Everton 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled