Match Napoli vs Torino March 6, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Napoli enters this Serie A clash with clear momentum, boasting a strong home edge and superior overall quality compared to Torino. Their offensive firepower is likely to challenge Torino’s defense, which has struggled recently. Napoli’s recent form and tactical discipline suggest they will control the pace, while Torino may find it tough to break down a compact and well-organized home side.

Napoli’s home advantage and pressing intensity
Torino’s defensive vulnerabilities against high-quality attacks
Recent form favors Napoli’s consistent point gathering

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NAP 3-4-2-1 · TOR 3-4-1-2

NAP · 3-4-2-1 3-4-1-2 · TOR

19 Højlund

Subs used · NAP

46'

Anguissa ↑ ·

Vergara ↓

69'

Gutierrez ↑ ·

Spinazzola ↓

79'

De Bruyne ↑ ·

Santos ↓

84'

Lukaku ↑ ·

Hojlund ↓

84'

Mazzocchi ↑ ·

Politano ↓

Subs used · TOR

57'

Pedersen ↑ ·

Obrador ↓

57'

Adams ↑ ·

Zapata ↓

67'

Kulenovic ↑ ·

Simeone ↓

67'

Casadei ↑ ·

Gineitis ↓

78'

Anjorin ↑ ·

Prati ↓

📊 Statistics

NAP 2 – 1 TOR

64%

Possession (%)

36%

1.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.37

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1

Alisson Santos

Assist · L. Spinazzola · 1–0

⚽

Half-time · 1 – 0

F. Anguissa ↓ · A. Vergara ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

57'

⇄

M. Pedersen ↓ · R. Obrador ↑

Substitution 1

57'

⇄

C. Adams ↓ · D. Zapata ↑

Substitution 2

63'

▮

Gvidas Gineitis

Yellow Card

64'

▮

Ardian Ismajli

Yellow Card

67'

⇄

S. Kulenovic ↓ · G. Simeone ↑

Substitution 3

67'

⇄

C. Casadei ↓ · G. Gineitis ↑

Substitution 4

E. Elmas

Assist · M. Politano · 2–0

⚽

68'

M. Gutierrez ↓ · L. Spinazzola ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

73'

▮

Valentino Lazaro

Yellow Card

78'

⇄

F. Anjorin ↓ · M. Prati ↑

Substitution 5

K. De Bruyne ↓ · Alisson Santos ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

R. Lukaku ↓ · R. Hojlund ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

84'

P. Mazzocchi ↓ · M. Politano ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

87'

⚽

C. Casadei

Assist · C. Adams · 2–1

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Napoli beat Torino 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.25 to 0.37. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Alisson Santos (7'), E. Elmas (68'), C. Casadei (87').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.90 units (Brier 0.118).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.81	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.29	—	43%	Cashed	+1.29	Cashed
BTTS No	1.68	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.16	—	43%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.62	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.56	—	68%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	90%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.18	—	68%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.31	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	77%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.38	—	69%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Draw	4.25	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.75	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.60	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.39	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.90u	−29% ROI