P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Italy › Serie A › Lazio — Sassuolo

Lazio vs Sassuolo 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lazio
Lazio
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Mon 09 Mar · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Referee Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 63% · book 1.74 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.73 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.87 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.59 – 0.67
Δ +1.92
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.74 — +9.3% better than the market.

Lazio hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, backed by stronger overall metrics and recent form. Sassuolo's attacking threat faces Lazio's resilient defense, setting up a tactical battle. Home momentum is moderate, but Lazio's defensive solidity could keep the game tight.

  • Sassuolo's offensive edge challenges Lazio's compact backline
  • Home side's recent mixed form contrasts with Sassuolo's winning streak
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open end-to-end action

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.74 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LAZ 4-3-3 · SAS 4-3-3
LAZ · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · SAS 40 Motta 77 Marušić ⚽ 34 Fuentes 13 Romagnoli 17 Tavares 7 Dele-Bashiru 32 Cataldi 24 Taylor 18 Isaksen 27 Maldini ⚽ 10 Zaccagni 49 Murić 25 Coulibaly 21 Idzes 80 Muharemović 23 Garcia 90 Koné 35 Lipani 42 Thorstvedt 10 Berardi 8 Nzola 45 Laurienté ⚽
Subs used · LAZ
38' Patric ↑ · Cataldi ↓
46' Provstgaard ↑ · Romagnoli ↓
65' Dia ↑ · Maldini ↓
79' Pedro ↑ · Zaccagni ↓
79' Cancellieri ↑ · Isaksen ↓
Subs used · SAS
46' Matic ↑ · Lipani ↓
68' Moro ↑ · Nzola ↓
68' Doig ↑ · Garcia ↓
69' Walukiewicz ↑ · Coulibaly ↓
83' Bakola ↑ · Kone ↓

Statistics

LAZ 2 – 1 SAS
50%
Possession (%)
50%
2.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.67
13
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
1
9
Shots Inside Box
5
1
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
8
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
0
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 2 – 1
D. Maldini
1–0
⚽
2'
35'
⚽
A. Lauriente
Assist · K. Thorstvedt · 1–1
37'
▮
Luca Lipani
Yellow Card
Patric ↓ · D. Cataldi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
38'
Half-time · 1 – 1
O. Provstgaard ↓ · A. Romagnoli ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
46'
⇄
N. Matic ↓ · L. Lipani ↑
Substitution 1
58'
▮
Ulisses Garcia
Yellow Card
B. Dia ↓ · D. Maldini ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
68'
⇄
L. Moro ↓ · M. Nzola ↑
Substitution 2
68'
⇄
J. Doig ↓ · U. Garcia ↑
Substitution 3
69'
⇄
S. Walukiewicz ↓ · W. Coulibaly ↑
Substitution 4
Pedro ↓ · M. Zaccagni ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
M. Cancellieri ↓ · G. Isaksen ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
83'
⇄
D. Bakola ↓ · I. Kone ↑
Substitution 5
86'
▮
Armand Laurienté
Yellow Card
88'
▮
Sebastian Walukiewicz
Yellow Card
A. Marusic
Assist · M. Cancellieri · 2–1
⚽
90'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Lazio beat Sassuolo 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.59 to 0.67. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 7, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Maldini (2'), A. Lauriente (35'), A. Marusic (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.82 units (Brier 0.189).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.74 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.73 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.87 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.29 — 41% Cashed +1.29 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.98 — 47% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.53 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.23 — 37% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
Away Win 3.72 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.10 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 — 67% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.33 — 65% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.25 — 79% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 — 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.38 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.59 — 37% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.20 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.82u −22% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LAZ – SAS @ 1.74
+9.3%
Edge
Forecast →