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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Como — Lecce

Match Como vs Lecce February 28, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Como
Como
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 14:00
3:1
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como Referee F. Fourneau
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.90
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 62% · book 1.64
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.06
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.77 – 0.24
Δ +2.53
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Como holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a sturdy defense and a potent attack that outmatches Lecce's defensive frailties. Their recent form shows resilience, while Lecce's away struggles and lower offensive threat suggest a tough outing. Expect Como to control the pace and press effectively.

  • Como’s defensive solidity vs Lecce’s modest attack
  • Home crowd support boosting Como’s confidence
  • Potential for a controlled tempo with limited goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

COM 4-2-3-1 · LEC 3-5-1-1
Subs used · COM
46' Carlos ↑ · O. Kempf
64' Roberto ↑ · Perrone
64' Paz ↑ · Vojvoda
77' Morata ↑ · Douvikas
84' Diao ↑ · Rodriguez
Subs used · LEC
46' Pierotti ↑ · Ndaba
59' Stulic ↑ · Cheddira
59' Ngom ↑ · Gandelman
73' Sottil ↑ · Banda
84' Jean ↑ · Gabriel

📊 Statistics

COM 31 LEC
69%
Possession (%)
31%
2.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.24
12
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
1
12
Shots Inside Box
1
5
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
12
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

15 · 3 – 1
13'
L. Coulibaly
Assist · L. Banda · 0–1
A. Douvikas
Assist · J. Rodriguez · 1–1
18'
J. Rodriguez
Assist · M. Perrone · 2–1
35'
M. O. Kempf
Assist · L. Da Cunha · 3–1
44'
Half-time · 3 – 1
Diego Carlos ↓ · M. O. Kempf ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
S. Pierotti ↓ · C. Ndaba ↑
Substitution 1
59'
N. Stulic ↓ · W. Cheddira ↑
Substitution 2
59'
O. Ngom ↓ · O. Gandelman ↑
Substitution 3
S. Roberto ↓ · M. Perrone ↑
Substitution 2
64'
N. Paz ↓ · M. Vojvoda ↑
Substitution 3
64'
70'
Lameck Banda
Yellow Card
73'
R. Sottil ↓ · L. Banda ↑
Substitution 4
A. Morata ↓ · A. Douvikas ↑
Substitution 4
77'
A. Diao ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 5
84'
84'
G. Jean ↓ · Tiago Gabriel ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.90 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.64 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.06 45% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.45 38% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Home Win 1.42 73% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.65 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.09 93% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.19 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.11 73% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.86 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 71% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 25% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Away Win 10.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.60 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.97u −17% ROI