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Home Italy Serie A Parma — Cagliari

Predictions Parma vs Cagliari February 27, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Fri 27 Feb · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee Luca Massimi, Italy
Home Win · PAR
32%
Best 2.28
Draw
30%
Best 2.91
Away Win · CAG
38%
Best 3.66
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.72
Fair odds
2.38
book 2.72 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (58%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 32%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.2%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 29.9%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 31.6%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality High
Under 0.5
Probability 15.1%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 85.2%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5
Probability 84.9%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 14.8%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 32%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PAR – CAG @ 2.72
+14.1%
Edge
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