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Home › Italy › Serie A › Parma — Cagliari

Predictions by Market: Parma vs Cagliari

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Fri 27 Feb · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee Luca Massimi, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAR
32%
Best 2.28
Draw
30%
Best 2.91
Away Win · CAG
38%
Best 3.66
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.72
Fair odds
2.38
book 2.72 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (58%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 32%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.2%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 29.9%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 31.6%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 15.1%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 85.2%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5
Probability 84.9%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 14.8%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 32%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PAR – CAG @ 2.72
+14.1%
Edge
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