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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Hellas Verona — Napoli

Match Hellas Verona vs Napoli February 28, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
Home · last 5 D D L D L
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 17:00
1:2
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
W D L W W Away · last 5
Referee Andrea Colombo, Italy
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.70 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 40% · book 2.49 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.61 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.46 – 0.85
Δ −0.39
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Napoli enter this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Verona's defensive struggles and Napoli's potent offense create a tactical mismatch, likely favoring the visitors. The home side's low scoring and poor momentum contrast with Napoli's ability to control tempo and capitalize on chances.

  • Napoli's pressing and attacking efficiency outclass Verona's defense
  • Verona's recent form shows vulnerability, especially at home
  • Match pace hints at a controlled game with Napoli dictating play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

VER 3-5-2 · NAP 3-4-2-1
VER · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · NAP 1 Montipò 15 Nelsson 37 Bella-Kotchap 5 Edmundsson 2 Oyegoke 21 Harroui 63 Gagliardini 11 Akpro ⚽ 12 Bradarić 18 Bowie 9 Sarr 1 Meret 31 Beukema 5 Jesus 4 Buongiorno 21 Politano 20 Elmas 68 Lobotka 37 Spinazzola 26 Vergara 27 Santos 19 Højlund ⚽
Subs used · VER
55' Frese ↑ · Bella-Kotchap ↓
55' Mosquera ↑ · Sarr ↓
70' Suslov ↑ · Oyegoke ↓
82' Slotsager ↑ · Harroui ↓
82' Niasse ↑ · Akpa Akpro ↓
Subs used · NAP
52' Gutierrez ↑ · Spinazzola ↓
73' Gilmour ↑ · Lobotka ↓
73' Lukaku ↑ · Santos ↓
78' Giovane ↑ · Vergara ↓
78' Mazzocchi ↑ · Politano ↓

📊 Statistics

VER 1 – 2 NAP
35%
Possession (%)
65%
0.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.85
9
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
3
5
Shots Inside Box
5
2
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
11
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
3
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

20 · 1 – 2
2'
⚽
R. Hojlund
Assist · A. Vergara · 0–1
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Yellow Card
▮
45+2'
Half-time · 0 – 1
52'
⇄
M. Gutierrez ↓ · L. Spinazzola ↑
Substitution 1
M. Frese ↓ · A. Bella-Kotchap ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
55'
D. Mosquera ↓ · A. Sarr ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
55'
56'
▮
Antonio Vergara
Yellow Card
J. Akpa Akpro
1–1
⚽
65'
T. Suslov ↓ · D. Oyegoke ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
70'
71'
▮
Eljif Elmas
Yellow Card
73'
⇄
B. Gilmour ↓ · S. Lobotka ↑
Substitution 2
73'
⇄
R. Lukaku ↓ · Alisson Santos ↑
Substitution 3
Tomáš Suslov
Yellow Card
▮
74'
78'
⇄
Giovane ↓ · A. Vergara ↑
Substitution 4
78'
⇄
P. Mazzocchi ↓ · M. Politano ↑
Substitution 5
Abdou Harroui
Yellow Card
▮
81'
T. Slotsager ↓ · A. Harroui ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
C. Niasse ↓ · J. Akpa Akpro ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
90'
▮
Juan Jesus
Yellow Card
90'
⚽
R. Lukaku
1–2
90+7'
▮
Romelu Lukaku
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.70 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.49 — 40% Cashed +1.49 Cashed
BTTS No 1.61 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.35 — 41% Cashed +1.35 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.69 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.56 — 68% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.13 — 90% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.05 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.44 — 67% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.17 — 68% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.24 — 79% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 — 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.19 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.33 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 7.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 5.68 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.53u −27% ROI