AS Roma vs Juventus 3:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.37 — +12.5% better than the market.

AS Roma hosts Juventus in a clash where the visitors hold a quality edge, boosted by a stronger offensive profile. Roma's recent form shows resilience and home momentum, but Juventus' attacking threat and defensive solidity suggest a tightly contested game. The pace may be moderate, with both sides capable of controlling possession and exploiting set-pieces.

Juventus' offensive firepower challenges Roma's defense.
Roma's home form and pressing could unsettle the visitors.
Moderate tempo likely, favoring tactical discipline over wild open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 2.37 ✓ Cashed

AI 47% Implied 42% +1.37u

+137%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ROM 3-5-2 · JUV 3-4-2-1

ROM · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · JUV

14 Malen ⚽

Subs used · ROM

74'

Ghilardi ↑ ·

Rensch ↓

74'

El Aynaoui ↑ ·

Cristante ↓

90'

Zaragoza ↑ ·

Pellegrini ↓

Subs used · JUV

63'

Boga ↑ ·

David ↓

72'

Miretti ↑ ·

Thuram ↓

72'

Zhegrova ↑ ·

Conceicao ↓

88'

Gatti ↑ ·

Bremer ↓

89'

Openda ↑ ·

Cambiaso ↓

Statistics

ROM 3 – 3 JUV

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.65

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.36

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 3 – 3

Wesley

Yellow Card

▮

27'

Wesley Franca

Assist · N. Pisilli · 1–0

⚽

39'

Half-time · 1 – 0

47'

⚽

F. Conceicao

Assist · Bremer · 1–1

E. Ndicka

Assist · L. Pellegrini · 2–1

⚽

54'

63'

⇄

J. Boga ↓ · J. David ↑

Substitution 1

D. Malen

Assist · M. Kone · 3–1

⚽

65'

72'

⇄

F. Miretti ↓ · K. Thuram ↑

Substitution 2

72'

⇄

E. Zhegrova ↓ · F. Conceicao ↑

Substitution 3

D. Ghilardi ↓ · D. Rensch ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

74'

N. El Aynaoui ↓ · B. Cristante ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

78'

⚽

J. Boga

3–2

88'

⇄

F. Gatti ↓ · Bremer ↑

Substitution 4

89'

⇄

L. Openda ↓ · A. Cambiaso ↑

Substitution 5

B. Zaragoza ↓ · L. Pellegrini ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90'

⚽

F. Gatti

3–3

Full-time · 3 – 3

Match recap

AS Roma and Juventus drew 3–3. At half-time it was 1–0.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.36 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: Wesley Franca (39'), F. Conceicao (47'), E. Ndicka (54'), D. Malen (65'), J. Boga (78'), F. Gatti (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.53 units (Brier 0.210).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.37	—	47%	Cashed	+1.37	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	52%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.69	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.05	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.73	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.90	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.52	—	71%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Away Win	3.00	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.44	—	72%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.50	—	26%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Draw	3.20	—	29%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.45	—	58%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	91%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.25	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.53u	+3% ROI

AS Roma vs Juventus 3:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled