Fiorentina vs Pisa 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.73 — +9.7% better than the market.

Fiorentina holds a clear quality edge over Pisa, boosted by a solid defensive setup that should challenge Pisa's moderate attack. Home momentum is mixed but Fiorentina's home edge suggests they can control the pace and limit Pisa's chances. Expect a tactical battle with Fiorentina's compact block and set-piece threat likely to be decisive.

Fiorentina's defensive solidity vs Pisa's attack
Home advantage with tactical discipline
Moderate tempo with focus on control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 58% +0.73u

+73%

ROI on stake

Lineups

FIO 4-3-3 · PIS 3-4-2-1

FIO · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · PIS

19 Solomon

Subs used · FIO

78'

Comuzzo ↑ ·

Dodo ↓

78'

Fazzini ↑ ·

Solomon ↓

85'

Piccoli ↑ ·

Kean ↓

88'

Fabbian ↑ ·

Fagioli ↓

Subs used · PIS

46'

Meister ↑ ·

Iling Junior ↓

46'

Durosinmi ↑ ·

Loyola ↓

46'

Aebischer ↑ ·

Stojilkovic ↓

67'

Cuadrado ↑ ·

Toure ↓

76'

Piccinini ↑ ·

Moreo ↓

Statistics

FIO 1 – 0 PIS

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 1 – 0

M. Kean

1–0

⚽

13'

37'

▮

Antonio Caracciolo

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

H. Meister ↓ · S. Iling Junior ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

R. Durosinmi ↓ · F. Loyola ↑

Substitution 2

46'

⇄

M. Aebischer ↓ · F. Stojilkovic ↑

Substitution 3

Dodô

Yellow Card

▮

47'

62'

▮

Marius Marin

Yellow Card

67'

⇄

J. Cuadrado ↓ · I. Toure ↑

Substitution 4

76'

⇄

G. Piccinini ↓ · S. Moreo ↑

Substitution 5

P. Comuzzo ↓ · Dodo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

78'

J. Fazzini ↓ · M. Solomon ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

79'

▮

Juan Cuadrado

Yellow Card

R. Piccoli ↓ · M. Kean ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

G. Fabbian ↓ · N. Fagioli ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

Jacopo Fazzini

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Giovanni Fabbian

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Fiorentina beat Pisa 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.73 to 0.26. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 7, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Kean (13').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.03 units (Brier 0.169).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.73	—	63%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.12	—	49%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
BTTS No	2.07	—	49%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.84	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.34	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.19	—	87%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	70%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.01	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.27	—	63%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.10	—	25%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.30	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.05	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.11	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.03u	−12% ROI

Fiorentina vs Pisa 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled