Match Inter vs Juventus February 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.80 — +9.2% better than the market.

Inter arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a clear quality edge and a potent attack that challenges Juventus' defense. Their recent form shows resilience despite a minor setback, while Juventus' mixed results hint at inconsistency. The home side's pressing and compact block could exploit Juventus' defensive vulnerabilities.

Inter's attacking threat vs Juventus' defense favors home pressure
Juventus' solid but less effective offense may struggle against Inter's defense
Moderate pace expected, supporting a tactical, controlled game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed

AI 61% Implied 56% +0.80u

+80%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · JUV 4-3-3

INT · 3-5-2 4-3-3 · JUV

9 Thuram

Subs used · INT

46'

Augusto ↑ ·

Bastoni ↓

54'

Calhanoglu ↑ ·

Barella ↓

66'

Diouf ↑ ·

Sucic ↓

66'

Esposito ↑ ·

Henrique ↓

86'

Bonny ↑ ·

Thuram ↓

Subs used · JUV

46'

Holm ↑ ·

Conceicao ↓

61'

Koopmeiners ↑ ·

Miretti ↓

61'

Cabal ↑ ·

David ↓

75'

Boga ↑ ·

Yildiz ↓

78'

Openda ↑ ·

Cambiaso ↓

📊 Statistics

INT 3 – 2 JUV

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.88

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.99

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

22 · 3 – 2

Alessandro Bastoni

Yellow Card

▮

A. Cambiaso

Own goal · 1–0

⚽

17'

26'

⚽

A. Cambiaso

Assist · W. McKennie · 1–1

32'

▮

Pierre Kalulu

Yellow Card

42'

▮

Pierre Kalulu

Yellow Card

42'

▮

Pierre Kalulu

Red Card

Half-time · 1 – 1

Carlos Augusto ↓ · A. Bastoni ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

E. Holm ↓ · F. Conceicao ↑

Substitution 1

Nicolò Barella

Yellow Card

▮

53'

H. Calhanoglu ↓ · N. Barella ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

54'

61'

⇄

T. Koopmeiners ↓ · F. Miretti ↑

Substitution 2

61'

⇄

J. Cabal ↓ · J. David ↑

Substitution 3

A. Diouf ↓ · P. Sucic ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

66'

F. Esposito ↓ · Luis Henrique ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

66'

75'

⇄

J. Boga ↓ · K. Yildiz ↑

Substitution 4

F. Esposito

Assist · F. Dimarco · 2–1

⚽

76'

78'

⇄

L. Openda ↓ · A. Cambiaso ↑

Substitution 5

Hakan Çalhanoğlu

Yellow Card

▮

79'

83'

⚽

M. Locatelli

Assist · W. McKennie · 2–2

A. Bonny ↓ · M. Thuram ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

P. Zielinski

Assist · Y. Bisseck · 3–2

⚽

90'

Piotr Zieliński

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Inter beat Juventus 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.88 to 0.99. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 10, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Cambiaso (17'), A. Cambiaso (26'), F. Esposito (76'), M. Locatelli (83'), P. Zielinski (90'). Pierre Kalulu was sent off in the 42' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.42 units (Brier 0.130).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.03	—	59%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	61%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Home Win	2.04	—	57%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
BTTS No	2.08	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.88	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.92	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.60	—	38%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	81%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	83%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.44	—	57%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	94%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.52	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.98	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.20	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.64	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.42u	−14% ROI