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Home › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Cremonese

Predictions by Market: Atalanta vs Cremonese

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Mon 09 Feb · 17:30
2:1
Full-time
Cremonese
Cremonese
L L W W L Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Marco Piccinini, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATA
74%
Best 1.35
Draw
19%
Best 5.00
Away Win · CRE
7%
Best 8.90
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
4.14
book 4.50 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 24% · EV +8.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (76%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.2%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.2%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7%
Odds 14.90
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.4%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.36
Show model details
Implied probability 29.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ATA – CRE @ 4.50
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →