P
Prognosist
P
Home › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Como

Predictions by Market: AC Milan vs Como

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Wed 18 Feb · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Como
Como
W D W W W Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MIL
51%
Best 2.38
Draw
27%
Best 3.10
Away Win · COM
22%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.56
Fair odds
3.14
book 3.56 · +13.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +13.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (68%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 51%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 22.4%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.7%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.9%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22.4%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 49%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MIL – COM @ 3.56
+13.4%
Edge
Forecast →