Pisa vs Sassuolo 1:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.01 — +10.5% better than the market.

Sassuolo enter this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Pisa's defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but Sassuolo's sharper attack against a less robust defense hints at scoring opportunities. The moderate pace implied by odds points to a controlled game where Sassuolo's pressing and tactical discipline might unlock the home side's compact block.

Quality gap favors Sassuolo
Pisa's home defense vs Sassuolo's offense
Balanced tempo suggests tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.01 ✗ Lost

AI 37% Implied 33% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

PIS 3-4-2-1 · SAS 4-3-3

PIS · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · SAS

9 Meister

Subs used · PIS

46'

Leris ↑ ·

Canestrelli ↓

46'

Durosinmi ↑ ·

Marin ↓

46'

Loyola ↑ ·

Meister ↓

70'

Stojilkovic ↑ ·

Moreo ↓

85'

Stengs ↑ ·

Angori ↓

Subs used · SAS

73'

Fadera ↑ ·

Lauriente ↓

73'

Moro ↑ ·

Pinamonti ↓

73'

Lipani ↑ ·

Kone ↓

84'

Volpato ↑ ·

Berardi ↓

Statistics

PIS 1 – 3 SAS

54%

Possession (%)

46%

0.79

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

19 · 1 – 3

23'

▮

Kristian Thorstvedt

Yellow Card

25'

⚽

D. Berardi

Assist · K. Thorstvedt · 0–1

42'

▮

Ismael Koné

Yellow Card

45'

⚽

A. Caracciolo

Own goal · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

M. Leris ↓ · S. Canestrelli ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

R. Durosinmi ↓ · M. Marin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

F. Loyola ↓ · H. Meister ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

M. Aebischer

Assist · R. Durosinmi · 1–2

⚽

51'

58'

⚽

I. Kone

Assist · N. Matic · 1–3

Rosen Bozhinov

Yellow Card

▮

62'

Matteo Tramoni

Yellow Card

▮

64'

F. Stojilkovic ↓ · S. Moreo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

70'

73'

⇄

A. Fadera ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑

Substitution 1

73'

⇄

L. Moro ↓ · A. Pinamonti ↑

Substitution 2

73'

⇄

L. Lipani ↓ · I. Kone ↑

Substitution 3

Idrissa Touré

Yellow Card

▮

75'

79'

▮

Luca Moro

Yellow Card

84'

⇄

C. Volpato ↓ · D. Berardi ↑

Substitution 4

C. Stengs ↓ · S. Angori ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Sassuolo won 3–1 away at Pisa. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.64 to 0.79. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 15, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Berardi (25'), A. Caracciolo (45'), M. Aebischer (51'), I. Kone (58').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.12 units (Brier 0.246).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.93	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.66	—	47%	Cashed	+1.66	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.71	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.33	—	37%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.84	—	47%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.92	—	44%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.13	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.01	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.42	—	75%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Draw	3.20	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	63%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.55	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.10	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.26	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	87%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.20	—	18%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.12u	−1% ROI

Pisa vs Sassuolo 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled