Match Parma vs Juventus February 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.94 — +9.6% better than the market.

Juventus enter this clash with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Parma's Stadio Ennio Tardini. The away side's potent offense faces a home defense that has struggled, hinting at a tactical mismatch favoring Juventus' attacking threat. Parma's home momentum is limited, but their compact block and set-piece threat could offer some resistance.

Juventus' offensive firepower vs Parma's defensive vulnerabilities
Home side's patchy form contrasts with Juventus' steadier recent results
Moderate pace expected, with a balanced goal environment

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAR 4-3-2-1 · JUV 4-2-3-1

PAR · 4-3-2-1 4-2-3-1 · JUV

9 Pellegrino

Subs used · PAR

46'

Britschgi ↑ ·

Oristanio ↓

65'

Sorensen ↑ ·

Nicolussi Caviglia ↓

74'

Estevez ↑ ·

Bernabe ↓

75'

Elphege ↑ ·

Ondrejka ↓

Subs used · JUV

46'

Miretti ↑ ·

Yildiz ↓

65'

Kostic ↑ ·

Conceicao ↓

66'

Gatti ↑ ·

Bremer ↓

74'

Cabal ↑ ·

McKennie ↓

81'

Openda ↑ ·

David ↓

📊 Statistics

PAR 1 – 4 JUV

40%

Possession (%)

60%

0.58

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

4.03

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 1 – 4

15'

⚽

Bremer

Assist · F. Conceicao · 0–1

17'

▮

Francisco Conceição

Yellow Card

24'

▮

Bremer

Yellow Card

26'

▮

Weston McKennie

Yellow Card

37'

⚽

W. McKennie

Assist · P. Kalulu · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

S. Britschgi ↓ · G. Oristanio ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

F. Miretti ↓ · K. Yildiz ↑

Substitution 1

A. Cambiaso

Own goal · 1–2

⚽

51'

54'

⚽

Bremer

Assist · J. David · 1–3

64'

⚽

J. David

1–4

O. Sorensen ↓ · H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

⇄

F. Kostic ↓ · F. Conceicao ↑

Substitution 2

66'

⇄

F. Gatti ↓ · Bremer ↑

Substitution 3

N. Estevez ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

⇄

J. Cabal ↓ · W. McKennie ↑

Substitution 4

N. Elphege ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

75'

81'

⇄

L. Openda ↓ · J. David ↑

Substitution 5

Alessandro Circati

Yellow Card

▮

86'

Full-time · 1 – 4

Match recap

Juventus won 4–1 away at Parma. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 4.03 to 0.58. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 8 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Bremer (15'), W. McKennie (37'), A. Cambiaso (51'), Bremer (54'), J. David (64').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.10 units (Brier 0.180).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.94	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.73	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.20	—	42%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.02	—	44%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Away Win	1.50	—	70%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.60	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.12	—	91%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.86	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.17	—	70%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.61	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	69%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.49	—	23%	Cashed	+2.49	Cashed
Home Win	8.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.75	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.10u	−18% ROI