Match Torino vs Lecce February 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.73 — +10.9% better than the market.

Torino holds a clear quality edge and a solid home defensive record, which should help contain Lecce's modest attack. Despite Torino's recent poor form, their home momentum and superior defensive solidity suggest a tight contest with limited goals. Lecce's struggles on the road and weaker offensive output point to a likely low-scoring affair.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Recent form favors Torino's home resilience
Odds suggest a cautious, low-tempo game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 58% +0.73u

+73%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TOR 3-5-2 · LEC 4-2-3-1

TOR · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · LEC

91 Zapata

Subs used · TOR

70'

Prati ↑ ·

Ilkhan ↓

70'

Anjorin ↑ ·

Casadei ↓

70'

Obrador ↑ ·

Lazaro ↓

77'

Kulenovic ↑ ·

Zapata ↓

89'

Njie ↑ ·

Adams ↓

Subs used · LEC

65'

Gaspar ↑ ·

Gabriel ↓

65'

Banda ↑ ·

Gandelman ↓

77'

Ndri ↑ ·

Sottil ↓

78'

Sala ↑ ·

Pierotti ↓

89'

Ngom ↑ ·

Ramadani ↓

📊 Statistics

TOR 1 – 0 LEC

42%

Possession (%)

58%

1.86

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.56

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 0

C. Adams

Assist · N. Vlasic · 1–0

⚽

29'

Nikola Vlašić

Yellow Card

▮

45'

Half-time · 1 – 0

60'

▮

Tiago Gabriel

Yellow Card

65'

⇄

K. Gaspar ↓ · Tiago Gabriel ↑

Substitution 1

65'

⇄

L. Banda ↓ · O. Gandelman ↑

Substitution 2

M. Prati ↓ · E. Ilkhan ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

70'

F. Anjorin ↓ · C. Casadei ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

R. Obrador ↓ · V. Lazaro ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

71'

▮

Ylber Ramadani

Yellow Card

S. Kulenovic ↓ · D. Zapata ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

⇄

K. Ndri ↓ · R. Sottil ↑

Substitution 3

78'

⇄

A. Sala ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑

Substitution 4

A. Njie ↓ · C. Adams ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

89'

⇄

O. Ngom ↓ · Y. Ramadani ↑

Substitution 5

Matteo Prati

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Torino beat Lecce 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.86 to 0.56. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Adams (29').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.09 units (Brier 0.112).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.73	—	64%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Home Win	2.02	—	57%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.68	—	42%	Cashed	+1.68	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.92	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.27	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.60	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.58	—	69%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.50	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	85%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.52	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.20	—	86%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.12	—	85%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Draw	3.25	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.36	—	57%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Away Win	4.90	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	5.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.31	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.09u	−24% ROI