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Home › Italy › Serie A › Fiorentina — Cagliari

Predictions by Market: Fiorentina vs Cagliari

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 17:00
1:2
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Referee Marco Guida, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FIO
60%
Best 1.89
Draw
23%
Best 3.40
Away Win · CAG
17%
Best 4.45
Value pick
Away Win
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.84
book 6.00 · +2.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +2.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (60%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 17.1%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.03
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47.6%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.5%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.5%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.5%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 17.1%
Odds 4.31
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 82.9%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
FIO – CAG @ 6.00
+2.7%
Edge
Forecast →