Match Juventus vs Napoli January 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.23 — +14.0% better than the market.

Juventus enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record that could frustrate Napoli's attack. The home side's pressing and set-piece threat complement their recent form, while Napoli's resilience and compact block suggest a tactical battle. Expect a moderately paced game with chances for both, but Juventus' home advantage and sharper offensive edge tilt the balance.

Juventus' defensive solidity vs Napoli's attack
Home momentum and pressing intensity
Balanced pace favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.23 ✗ Lost

AI 51% Implied 45% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

JUV 3-4-2-1 · NAP 3-4-2-1

JUV · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · NAP

30 David ⚽

Subs used · JUV

60'

Kostic ↑ ·

Cambiaso ↓

60'

Cabal ↑ ·

Conceicao ↓

76'

Miretti ↑ ·

David ↓

87'

Gatti ↑ ·

Yildiz ↓

87'

Koopmeiners ↑ ·

Locatelli ↓

Subs used · NAP

70'

Giovane ↑ ·

Elmas ↓

74'

Beukema ↑ ·

Gutierrez ↓

79'

Lukaku ↑ ·

Vergara ↓

📊 Statistics

JUV 3 – 0 NAP

42%

Possession (%)

58%

1.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.73

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 3 – 0

J. David

Assist · M. Locatelli · 1–0

⚽

22'

34'

▮

Juan Jesus

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

Kenan Yıldız

Yellow Card

▮

56'

F. Kostic ↓ · A. Cambiaso ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

J. Cabal ↓ · F. Conceicao ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

70'

⇄

Giovane ↓ · E. Elmas ↑

Substitution 1

73'

▮

Antonio Vergara

Yellow Card

74'

⇄

S. Beukema ↓ · M. Gutierrez ↑

Substitution 2

F. Miretti ↓ · J. David ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

K. Yildiz

Assist · F. Miretti · 2–0

⚽

77'

79'

⇄

R. Lukaku ↓ · A. Vergara ↑

Substitution 3

F. Kostic

3–0

⚽

86'

F. Gatti ↓ · K. Yildiz ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

T. Koopmeiners ↓ · M. Locatelli ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Juventus beat Napoli 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.09 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. David (22'), K. Yildiz (77'), F. Kostic (86').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.79 units (Brier 0.131).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.65	—	47%	Cashed	+1.65	Cashed
Home Win	2.18	—	54%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.23	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.73	—	49%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.77	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.62	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.79	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.58	—	72%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.10	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	82%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.49	—	54%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.52	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.12	—	91%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Draw	3.23	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.18	—	72%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Away Win	4.15	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	7.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.79u	−22% ROI