Genoa vs Bologna 3:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.42 — +7.0% better than the market.

Bologna enters this Serie A clash with a clear quality edge and a slightly better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Genoa’s home advantage is modest but could help them maintain a compact defensive block against Bologna’s sharper attack. Expect a tactical battle where Bologna’s pressing and offensive threat might break through Genoa’s resilient defense.

Bologna’s stronger overall quality and recent momentum
Genoa’s home defensive solidity
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.42 ✗ Lost

AI 75% Implied 70% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GEN 3-5-2 · BOL 4-2-3-1

GEN · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · BOL

29 Colombo

Subs used · GEN

55'

Messias ↑ ·

Martin ↓

55'

Malinovskyi ↑ ·

Ekhator ↓

73'

Ekuban ↑ ·

Vitinha ↓

74'

Cornet ↑ ·

Vasquez ↓

90+6'

Zatterstrom ↑ ·

Norton-Cuffy ↓

Subs used · BOL

61'

Ravaglia ↑ ·

Dominguez ↓

73'

Sohm ↑ ·

Immobile ↓

73'

Dallinga ↑ ·

Odgaard ↓

73'

Vitik ↑ ·

Rowe ↓

Statistics

GEN 3 – 2 BOL

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.54

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

19 · 3 – 2

35'

⚽

L. Ferguson

Assist · B. Dominguez · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

47'

⚽

S. Otoa

Own goal · 0–2

Junior Messias ↓ · A. Martin ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

55'

R. Malinovskyi ↓ · J. Ekhator ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

55'

56'

▮

Łukasz Skorupski

Red Card

61'

⇄

F. Ravaglia ↓ · B. Dominguez ↑

Substitution 1

R. Malinovskyi

1–2

⚽

62'

68'

▮

Ciro Immobile

Yellow Card

Ruslan Malinovskyi

Yellow Card

▮

71'

C. Ekuban ↓ · Vitinha ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

⇄

S. Sohm ↓ · C. Immobile ↑

Substitution 2

73'

⇄

T. Dallinga ↓ · J. Odgaard ↑

Substitution 3

73'

⇄

M. Vitik ↓ · J. Rowe ↑

Substitution 4

M. Cornet ↓ · J. Vasquez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

75'

▮

Federico Ravaglia

Yellow Card

C. Ekuban

Assist · A. Marcandalli · 2–2

⚽

78'

Junior Messias

Assist · A. Marcandalli · 3–2

⚽

90'

N. Zatterstrom ↓ · B. Norton-Cuffy ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+6'

Alessandro Marcandalli

Yellow Card

▮

90+7'

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Genoa beat Bologna 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.54 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Ferguson (35'), S. Otoa (47'), R. Malinovskyi (62'), C. Ekuban (78'), Junior Messias (90'). Łukasz Skorupski was sent off in the 56' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.65 units (Brier 0.305).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.66	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.47	—	41%	Cashed	+1.47	Cashed
BTTS No	1.83	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.64	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.03	—	47%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.84	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.13	—	25%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.42	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.47	—	67%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.88	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.20	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.54	—	53%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Home Win	3.10	—	25%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.80	—	21%	Cashed	+3.80	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.11	—	89%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.22	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.65u	+10% ROI

Genoa vs Bologna 3:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled