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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Sassuolo — Cremonese

Match Sassuolo vs Cremonese January 25, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 11:30
1:0
Full-time
Cremonese
Cremonese
L L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Giuseppe Collu, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.76
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.91
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 57% · book 1.98
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.10 – 0.59
Δ +0.51
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.76 — +11.9% better than the market.

Sassuolo holds a clear quality edge and a home advantage that could prove decisive despite recent struggles. Their defense is notably stronger than Cremonese's, suggesting a compact block that might frustrate the visitors' attack. Both sides show low recent form, but Sassuolo's home momentum and slightly better offensive matchup hint at a tight, low-scoring game.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
  • Recent form favors cautious play
  • Odds suggest a modest pace with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.76 ✓ Cashed
AI 64% Implied 57% +0.76u
+76%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · CRE 3-5-2
Subs used · SAS
59' Berardi ↑ · Fadera
59' Thorstvedt ↑ · Lipani
71' Pierini ↑ · Lauriente
71' Pinamonti ↑ · Moro
83' Iannoni ↑ · Kone
Subs used · CRE
23' Zerbin ↑ · Collocolo
46' Johnsen ↑ · Barbieri
67' Floriani ↑ · Grassi
81' Faye ↑ · Bianchetti
81' Folino ↑ · Terracciano

📊 Statistics

SAS 10 CRE
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.10
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.59
13
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
2
7
Shots Inside Box
4
3
Corner Kicks
5
4
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
14
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

14 · 1 – 0
A. Fadera
1–0
3'
23'
A. Zerbin ↓ · M. Collocolo ↑
Substitution 1
32'
Tommaso Barbieri
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
D. Johnsen ↓ · T. Barbieri ↑
Substitution 2
D. Berardi ↓ · A. Fadera ↑
Substitution 1
59'
K. Thorstvedt ↓ · L. Lipani ↑
Substitution 2
59'
Armand Laurienté
Yellow Card
64'
67'
R. Floriani ↓ · A. Grassi ↑
Substitution 3
N. Pierini ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑
Substitution 3
71'
A. Pinamonti ↓ · L. Moro ↑
Substitution 4
71'
74'
Giuseppe Pezzella
Yellow Card
81'
M. Faye ↓ · M. Bianchetti ↑
Substitution 4
81'
F. Folino ↓ · F. Terracciano ↑
Substitution 5
E. Iannoni ↓ · I. Kone ↑
Substitution 5
83'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.76 64% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 58% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Home Win 1.98 57% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.97 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.92 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.24 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.20 37% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.27 82% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.24 83% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.40 57% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 87% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.46 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.14 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.50 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.10 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.15u −19% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
SAS – CRE @ 1.76
+11.9%
Edge
Forecast →