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Home › Italy › Serie A › Pisa — Atalanta

Predictions by Market: Pisa vs Atalanta

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 16 Jan · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee Matteo Marchetti, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PIS
12%
Best 6.50
Draw
23%
Best 4.10
Away Win · ATA
65%
Best 1.55
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.53
Fair odds
3.11
book 3.53 · +13.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +13.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.2%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 12.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.1%
Odds 3.53
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 12.2%
Odds 4.26
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PIS – ATA @ 3.53
+13.4%
Edge
Forecast →