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Home Italy Serie A Pisa — Atalanta

Predictions Pisa vs Atalanta January 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 16 Jan · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee Matteo Marchetti, Italy
Home Win · PIS
12%
Best 6.50
Draw
23%
Best 4.10
Away Win · ATA
65%
Best 1.55
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.53
Fair odds
3.11
book 3.53 · +13.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +13.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.2%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 12.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.1%
Odds 3.53
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 12.2%
Odds 4.26
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
PIS – ATA @ 3.53
+13.4%
Edge
Forecast →