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Home › Italy › Serie A › Parma — Genoa

Parma vs Genoa 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 11:30
0:0
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee Luca Pairetto, Italy
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.81 ✓
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 38% · book 2.69 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 35% · book 2.65 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.41 – 1.04
Δ −0.63
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.45 — +7.3% better than the market.

Genoa arrive at Stadio Ennio Tardini with a clear quality edge and a more potent attack facing Parma's leaky defense. Despite Parma's home momentum and compact block, Genoa's pressing and sharper form suggest they can control the game tempo. The match hints at a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely, as both sides show defensive resilience but limited finishing.

  • Genoa's offensive edge against Parma's defense
  • Home side's recent mixed form versus away's steadier results
  • Moderate pace favoring tactical discipline over open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.45 ✓ Cashed
AI 74% Implied 69% +0.45u
+45%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PAR 4-3-3 · GEN 3-5-2
Subs used · PAR
46' Britschgi ↑ · Ondrejka ↓
76' Sorensen ↑ · Bernabe ↓
76' Djuric ↑ · Pellegrino ↓
82' Cremaschi ↑ · Oristanio ↓
Subs used · GEN
73' Messias ↑ · Malinovskyi ↓
73' Ekhator ↑ · Vitinha ↓
77' Masini ↑ · Sabelli ↓
89' Nuredini ↑ · Colombo ↓

Statistics

PAR 0 – 0 GEN
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.41
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.04
14
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
18
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

13 · 0 – 0
Jacob Ondrejka
Yellow Card
▮
20'
Lautaro Valenti
Yellow Card
▮
28'
Alessandro Circati
Yellow Card
▮
35'
36'
▮
Leo Østigård
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
S. Britschgi ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
56'
▮
Vitinha
Yellow Card
73'
⇄
Junior Messias ↓ · R. Malinovskyi ↑
Substitution 1
73'
⇄
J. Ekhator ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 2
O. Sorensen ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
76'
M. Djuric ↓ · M. Pellegrino ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
77'
⇄
P. Masini ↓ · S. Sabelli ↑
Substitution 3
B. Cremaschi ↓ · G. Oristanio ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
89'
⇄
J. Nuredini ↓ · L. Colombo ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Parma and Genoa drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.04 to 0.41. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.04 units (Brier 0.244).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.81 — 58% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.69 — 38% Cashed +1.69 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.65 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.07 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.98 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.97 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.45 — 74% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Away Win 3.02 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.59 — 65% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.53 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 2.86 — 32% Cashed +1.86 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 58% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Home Win 2.98 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 — 13% Cashed +7.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.20 — 83% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.13 — 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.30 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +4.04u +24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
PAR – GEN @ 1.45
+7.3%
Edge
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