Match Parma vs Genoa January 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.45 — +7.3% better than the market.

Genoa arrive at Stadio Ennio Tardini with a clear quality edge and a more potent attack facing Parma's leaky defense. Despite Parma's home momentum and compact block, Genoa's pressing and sharper form suggest they can control the game tempo. The match hints at a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely, as both sides show defensive resilience but limited finishing.

Genoa's offensive edge against Parma's defense
Home side's recent mixed form versus away's steadier results
Moderate pace favoring tactical discipline over open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.45 ✓ Cashed

AI 74% Implied 69% +0.45u

+45%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAR 4-3-3 · GEN 3-5-2

PAR · 4-3-3 3-5-2 · GEN

17 Ondrejka

Subs used · PAR

46'

Britschgi ↑ ·

Ondrejka ↓

76'

Sorensen ↑ ·

Bernabe ↓

76'

Djuric ↑ ·

Pellegrino ↓

82'

Cremaschi ↑ ·

Oristanio ↓

Subs used · GEN

73'

Messias ↑ ·

Malinovskyi ↓

73'

Ekhator ↑ ·

Vitinha ↓

77'

Masini ↑ ·

Sabelli ↓

89'

Nuredini ↑ ·

Colombo ↓

📊 Statistics

PAR 0 – 0 GEN

51%

Possession (%)

49%

0.41

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.04

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 0

Jacob Ondrejka

Yellow Card

▮

20'

Lautaro Valenti

Yellow Card

▮

28'

Alessandro Circati

Yellow Card

▮

35'

36'

▮

Leo Østigård

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

S. Britschgi ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

56'

▮

Vitinha

Yellow Card

73'

⇄

Junior Messias ↓ · R. Malinovskyi ↑

Substitution 1

73'

⇄

J. Ekhator ↓ · Vitinha ↑

Substitution 2

O. Sorensen ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

M. Djuric ↓ · M. Pellegrino ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

77'

⇄

P. Masini ↓ · S. Sabelli ↑

Substitution 3

B. Cremaschi ↓ · G. Oristanio ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

89'

⇄

J. Nuredini ↓ · L. Colombo ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Parma and Genoa drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.04 to 0.41. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.04 units (Brier 0.244).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.81	—	58%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.69	—	38%	Cashed	+1.69	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.65	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.07	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.98	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.97	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.45	—	74%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Away Win	3.02	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.59	—	65%	Cashed	+0.59	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.53	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	2.86	—	32%	Cashed	+1.86	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	58%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Home Win	2.98	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	13%	Cashed	+7.00	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.20	—	83%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.13	—	87%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	5.30	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+4.04u	+24% ROI