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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Ararat-Armenia — AZ Alkmaar

Prediction: Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar, October 22

Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Home · last 5 D W L
Kick-off
Thu 22 Oct · 16:45
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARA
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · ALK
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Ararat-Armenia
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 8
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.93 / 2.53
AZ Alkmaar
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.27 / 2.57

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
2.25
1.67
Goals Conceded
1
0.64
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
2
Shots on Target
6.88
3
Corners
8.25
30.33
Possession (%)
58.88
91.26
Efficiency index
95.83
93.97
Adjusted index
153.17
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
52
OFF · home
—
35
DEF · home
—
45
OFF · away
74
77
DEF · away
34
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Ararat-Armenia wins when scoring first
—
①
AZ Alkmaar wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Ararat-Armenia BTTS rate · last 9
56%
⚽
AZ Alkmaar BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Ararat-Armenia Over 2.5 · last 9
44%
↑
AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Ararat-Armenia comeback rate · last 9
0%
↩
AZ Alkmaar comeback rate · last 10
50%

Goal timing

AZ Alkmaar · last 4 away

0–15 17%
16–30 17%
31–45 0%
46–60 33%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

Bruno Wilson
ARA · Defender
1 G · 1.00 g/90