P
Prognosist
P
Home Italy Serie A AC Milan — Lecce

Predictions AC Milan vs Lecce January 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy
Home Win · MIL
76%
Best 1.29
Draw
18%
Best 5.40
Away Win · LEC
6%
Best 12.00
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.00
Fair odds
1.90
book 2.00 · +5.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +5.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 76%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.3%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 5.6%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 8.3%
Odds 12.40
Show model details
Implied probability 8.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.64
Show model details
Implied probability 37.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.6%
Odds 7.20
Show model details
Implied probability 13.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 24%
Odds 3.84
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.