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Home › England › Premier League › Manchester United — Wolves

Predictions by Market: Manchester United vs Wolves

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester United
Manchester United
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Tue 30 Dec · 20:15
1:1
Full-time
Wolves
Wolves
L D L D D Away · last 5
Old Trafford · Manchester Referee Thomas Bramall, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MUN
74%
Best 1.39
Draw
18%
Best 5.10
Away Win · WOL
8%
Best 7.65
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.40
Fair odds
4.74
book 5.40 · +13.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 21% · EV +13.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (79%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.1%
Odds 5.65
Show model details
Implied probability 17.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.9%
Odds 9.40
Show model details
Implied probability 10.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34%
Odds 2.49
Show model details
Implied probability 40.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.1%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.9%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.1%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 26%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MUN – WOL @ 5.40
+13.9%
Edge
Forecast →