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Home › Italy › Serie A › AS Roma — Sassuolo

Predictions by Market: AS Roma vs Sassuolo

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 17:00
2:0
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Referee Matteo Marcenaro, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ROM
66%
Best 1.67
Draw
23%
Best 3.68
Away Win · SAS
11%
Best 5.90
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.26
book 3.50 · +7.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +7.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.1%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.2%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11.1%
Odds 4.97
Show model details
Implied probability 20.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 33.7%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ROM – SAS @ 3.50
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →