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Sassuolo vs Juventus 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Tue 06 Jan · 19:45
0:3
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
D D W L D Away · last 5
Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 62% · book 1.78 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.94 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.95 ✓
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.23 – 2.53
Δ −2.30
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.78 — +11.0% better than the market.

Juventus enter this clash with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Sassuolo’s home momentum is tempered by a modest attacking mismatch against Juventus’ solid defense. Expect Juventus to leverage their pressing edge and tactical discipline to control the game tempo.

  • Juventus’ superior overall strength and form advantage
  • Sassuolo’s challenge to break down a compact defensive block
  • Moderate goal environment hints at a balanced but controlled pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.78 ✓ Cashed
AI 62% Implied 56% +0.78u
+78%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · JUV 3-4-2-1
Subs used · SAS
39' Fadera ↑ · Thorstvedt ↓
76' Lipani ↑ · Matic ↓
77' Vranckx ↑ · Iannoni ↓
77' Pierini ↑ · Lauriente ↓
90' Odenthal ↑ · Walukiewicz ↓
Subs used · JUV
75' Openda ↑ · David ↓
75' Mario ↑ · McKennie ↓
85' Adzic ↑ · Yildiz ↓
85' Cabal ↑ · Cambiaso ↓
90' Zhegrova ↑ · Miretti ↓

Statistics

SAS 0 – 3 JUV
44%
Possession (%)
56%
0.23
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.53
6
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Target
10
4
Shots off Target
6
2
Shots Inside Box
13
5
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
3
Fouls
12
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
8
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

13 · 0 – 3
16'
⚽
T. Muharemovic
Own goal · 0–1
A. Fadera ↓ · K. Thorstvedt ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
39'
Half-time · 0 – 1
62'
⚽
F. Miretti
Assist · J. David · 0–2
63'
⚽
J. David
0–3
75'
⇄
L. Openda ↓ · J. David ↑
Substitution 1
75'
⇄
Joao Mario ↓ · W. McKennie ↑
Substitution 2
L. Lipani ↓ · N. Matic ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
76'
A. Vranckx ↓ · E. Iannoni ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
N. Pierini ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
85'
⇄
V. Adzic ↓ · K. Yildiz ↑
Substitution 3
85'
⇄
J. Cabal ↓ · A. Cambiaso ↑
Substitution 4
C. Odenthal ↓ · S. Walukiewicz ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
90'
⇄
E. Zhegrova ↓ · F. Miretti ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Juventus won 3–0 away at Sassuolo. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.53 to 0.23. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 10 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves.

On the scoresheet: T. Muharemovic (16'), F. Miretti (62'), J. David (63').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.04 units (Brier 0.112).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.78 — 62% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.94 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 — 52% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.02 — 46% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.25 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.21 — 86% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.27 — 62% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.55 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 — 75% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 — 71% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.95 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.50 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.30 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.98 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.04u −30% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
SAS – JUV @ 1.78
+11.0%
Edge
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