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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Lazio — Fiorentina

Match Lazio vs Fiorentina January 7, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Lazio
Lazio
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Wed 07 Jan · 19:45
2:2
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee Simone Sozza, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 47% · book 2.51 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.91 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.71 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.74 – 1.64
Δ +1.10
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lazio holds a slight quality edge and better recent form, suggesting home momentum could be key. Their compact defense contrasts with Fiorentina's potent attack, setting up an intriguing tactical battle. Expect a moderately paced game with chances on both ends, but Lazio's home resilience and Fiorentina's pressing threat may balance out.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive flair
  • Recent form favors Lazio's consistency
  • Moderate tempo hints at balanced chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LAZ 4-3-3 · FIO 4-3-3
LAZ · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · FIO 94 Provedel 29 Lazzari 34 Fuentes 13 Romagnoli 3 Pellegrini 8 Guendouzi 32 Cataldi ⚽ 26 Bašić 18 Isaksen 22 Cancellieri 10 Zaccagni 43 Gea 2 Dodô 15 Comuzzo 5 Pongračić 21 Gosens ⚽ 8 Mandragora 44 Fagioli 27 Ndour 65 Parisi 91 Piccoli 10 Guðmundsson ⚽
Subs used · LAZ
29' Vecino ↑ · Basic ↓
72' Pedro ↑ · Isaksen ↓
80' Hysaj ↑ · Lazzari ↓
Subs used · FIO
60' Kean ↑ · Piccoli ↓
68' Solomon ↑ · Ndour ↓
69' Ranieri ↑ · Gosens ↓
90+2' Nicolussi Caviglia ↑ · Parisi ↓
90+2' Mari ↑ · Gudmundsson ↓

📊 Statistics

LAZ 2 – 2 FIO
49%
Possession (%)
51%
2.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.64
17
Total Shots
8
9
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
1
12
Shots Inside Box
6
8
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
15
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
3
Yellow Cards
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6

⏱ Match events

20 · 2 – 2
20'
▮
Marin Pongračić
Yellow Card
21'
▮
Robin Gosens
Yellow Card
Matteo Cancellieri
Yellow Card
▮
26'
M. Vecino ↓ · T. Basic ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
29'
Half-time · 0 – 0
D. Cataldi
Assist · M. Vecino · 1–0
⚽
52'
55'
▮
Fabiano Parisi
Yellow Card
56'
⚽
R. Gosens
Assist · N. Fagioli · 1–1
60'
⇄
M. Kean ↓ · R. Piccoli ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
M. Solomon ↓ · C. Ndour ↑
Substitution 2
69'
⇄
L. Ranieri ↓ · R. Gosens ↑
Substitution 3
71'
▮
Nicolò Fagioli
Yellow Card
Pedro ↓ · G. Isaksen ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
E. Hysaj ↓ · M. Lazzari ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
80'
Mattia Zaccagni
Yellow Card
▮
83'
89'
⚽
A. Gudmundsson (P)
Penalty · 1–2
Luca Pellegrini
Yellow Card
▮
90'
Pedro (P)
Penalty · 2–2
⚽
90'
90+2'
⇄
H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↓ · F. Parisi ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
⇄
P. Mari ↓ · A. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 5
90+8'
▮
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.51 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.71 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.35 — 42% Cashed +1.35 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.96 — 48% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.62 — 53% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.74 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.28 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.38 — 75% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.10 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.44 — 68% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Draw 3.20 — 28% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 — 89% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.25 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.20 — 22% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.31 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.25u +1% ROI