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Home › Italy › Serie A › Inter — Bologna

Predictions by Market: Inter vs Bologna

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 19:45
3:1
Full-time
Bologna
Bologna
L D W W D Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Marco Guida, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · INT
72%
Best 1.43
Draw
19%
Best 4.75
Away Win · BOL
9%
Best 7.40
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.89
Fair odds
2.65
book 2.89 · +9.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 38% · EV +9.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (62%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.3%
Odds 5.17
Show model details
Implied probability 19.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 8.7%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40.5%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.9%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.1%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.3%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 53.2%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 8.7%
Odds 5.90
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.3%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.17
Show model details
Implied probability 31.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
INT – BOL @ 2.89
+9.2%
Edge
Forecast →