Bologna vs Sassuolo 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.80 — +11.1% better than the market.

Bologna Looks to Assert Home Dominance

Bologna carries a clear edge into this Serie A clash, buoyed by stronger recent form and a notable quality gap. Their home momentum is supported by a robust defensive setup that challenges Sassuolo’s attack, which has struggled against compact blocks. Sassuolo’s offense faces a tough test against Bologna’s disciplined backline, while the home side’s pressing and set-piece threat could unlock scoring opportunities. Expect a controlled tempo with chances for Bologna to capitalize on their home advantage.

Bologna’s defensive solidity vs Sassuolo’s attack
Home form and tactical pressing edge
Moderate goal environment suggesting balanced chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.80 ✗ Lost

AI 62% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BOL 4-2-3-1 · SAS 4-3-3

BOL · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · SAS

24 Dallinga

Subs used · BOL

70'

Castro ↑ ·

Dallinga ↓

70'

Immobile ↑ ·

Fabbian ↓

70'

Dominguez ↑ ·

Orsolini ↓

84'

Odgaard ↑ ·

Rowe ↓

88'

Holm ↑ ·

Zortea ↓

Subs used · SAS

60'

Doig ↑ ·

Cande ↓

71'

Fadera ↑ ·

Volpato ↓

89'

Cheddira ↑ ·

Lauriente ↓

Statistics

BOL 1 – 1 SAS

58%

Possession (%)

42%

0.88

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.62

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 1 – 1

21'

▮

Fali Candé

Yellow Card

Federico Ravaglia

Yellow Card

▮

45'

Half-time · 0 – 0

G. Fabbian

Assist · N. Zortea · 1–0

⚽

47'

52'

▮

Armand Laurienté

Yellow Card

60'

⇄

J. Doig ↓ · F. Cande ↑

Substitution 1

63'

⚽

T. Muharemovic

Assist · A. Lauriente · 1–1

S. Castro ↓ · T. Dallinga ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

70'

C. Immobile ↓ · G. Fabbian ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

B. Dominguez ↓ · R. Orsolini ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

71'

⇄

A. Fadera ↓ · C. Volpato ↑

Substitution 2

Benjamín Domínguez

Yellow Card

▮

82'

J. Odgaard ↓ · J. Rowe ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

84'

87'

▮

Alieu Fadera

Yellow Card

E. Holm ↓ · N. Zortea ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

89'

⇄

W. Cheddira ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Bologna and Sassuolo drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.62 to 0.88. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 8, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Fabbian (47'), T. Muharemovic (63').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.17 units (Brier 0.179).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.80	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.07	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.88	—	52%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
BTTS No	1.93	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	49%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.22	—	38%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	86%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.28	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	74%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.70	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.34	—	73%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.50	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.83	—	24%	Cashed	+2.83	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.21	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.91	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.17u	−13% ROI

Bologna vs Sassuolo 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Bologna Looks to Assert Home Dominance

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled