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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Bologna — Sassuolo

Match Bologna vs Sassuolo December 28, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Bologna
Bologna
Home · last 5 L D W W D
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara · Bologna Referee Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.80
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.07
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.88
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.88 – 1.62
Δ −0.74
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bologna Looks to Assert Home Dominance

Bologna carries a clear edge into this Serie A clash, buoyed by stronger recent form and a notable quality gap. Their home momentum is supported by a robust defensive setup that challenges Sassuolo’s attack, which has struggled against compact blocks. Sassuolo’s offense faces a tough test against Bologna’s disciplined backline, while the home side’s pressing and set-piece threat could unlock scoring opportunities. Expect a controlled tempo with chances for Bologna to capitalize on their home advantage.

  • Bologna’s defensive solidity vs Sassuolo’s attack
  • Home form and tactical pressing edge
  • Moderate goal environment suggesting balanced chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BOL 4-2-3-1 · SAS 4-3-3
Subs used · BOL
70' Castro ↑ · Dallinga
70' Immobile ↑ · Fabbian
70' Dominguez ↑ · Orsolini
84' Odgaard ↑ · Rowe
88' Holm ↑ · Zortea
Subs used · SAS
60' Doig ↑ · Cande
71' Fadera ↑ · Volpato
89' Cheddira ↑ · Lauriente

📊 Statistics

BOL 11 SAS
58%
Possession (%)
42%
0.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.62
16
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
3
18
Fouls
19
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
2
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
21'
Fali Candé
Yellow Card
Federico Ravaglia
Yellow Card
45'
Half-time · 0 – 0
G. Fabbian
Assist · N. Zortea · 1–0
47'
52'
Armand Laurienté
Yellow Card
60'
J. Doig ↓ · F. Cande ↑
Substitution 1
63'
T. Muharemovic
Assist · A. Lauriente · 1–1
S. Castro ↓ · T. Dallinga ↑
Substitution 1
70'
C. Immobile ↓ · G. Fabbian ↑
Substitution 2
70'
B. Dominguez ↓ · R. Orsolini ↑
Substitution 3
70'
71'
A. Fadera ↓ · C. Volpato ↑
Substitution 2
Benjamín Domínguez
Yellow Card
82'
J. Odgaard ↓ · J. Rowe ↑
Substitution 4
84'
87'
Alieu Fadera
Yellow Card
E. Holm ↓ · N. Zortea ↑
Substitution 5
88'
89'
W. Cheddira ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.80 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.07 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.88 52% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
BTTS No 1.93 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 49% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.22 38% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.21 86% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.28 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 74% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.70 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.34 73% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.83 24% Cashed +2.83 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.21 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.91 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.17u −13% ROI