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Home › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Inter

Predictions by Market: Atalanta vs Inter

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 19:45
0:1
Full-time
Inter
Inter
D W W D D Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Federico La Penna, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATA
20%
Best 3.90
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · INT
55%
Best 1.92
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.00
Fair odds
2.67
book 3.00 · +12.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +12.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (63%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 55.4%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 19.6%
Odds 3.76
Show model details
Implied probability 26.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.2%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 13.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 19.6%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ATA – INT @ 3.00
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →