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Home › Italy › Serie A › Udinese — Lazio

Predictions by Market: Udinese vs Lazio

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Udinese
Udinese
Home · last 5 D W W L L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
D W L L W Away · last 5
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli · Udine Referee Andrea Colombo, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · UDI
25%
Best 3.05
Draw
28%
Best 2.95
Away Win · LAZ
47%
Best 2.60
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.00
Fair odds
2.64
book 3.00 · +13.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 38% · EV +13.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (62%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 47.2%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 37.9%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 13%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 82.9%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 17.1%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 42.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 47.2%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 24.5%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
UDI – LAZ @ 3.00
+13.8%
Edge
Forecast →