Match Cagliari vs Pisa December 21, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.66 — +10.0% better than the market.

Cagliari holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the game tempo at Unipol Domus. Both sides show defensive solidity, but Cagliari's slightly better form and home momentum could limit Pisa's attacking threat. Expect a tactical battle with few clear-cut chances and a likely low-scoring outcome.

Cagliari's home edge supports a compact defensive block.
Pisa's offense faces a tough defensive test.
Recent form hints at cautious play and limited goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.66 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CAG 4-3-2-1 · PIS 3-5-2

CAG · 4-3-2-1 3-5-2 · PIS

9 Kılıçsoy ⚽

Subs used · CAG

46'

Idrissi ↑ ·

Obert ↓

55'

Zappa ↑ ·

Adopo ↓

63'

Mazzitelli ↑ ·

Folorunsho ↓

82'

Cavuoti ↑ ·

Gaetano ↓

82'

Borrelli ↑ ·

Kilicsoy ↓

Subs used · PIS

73'

Vural ↑ ·

Hojholt ↓

74'

Moreo ↑ ·

Piccinini ↓

74'

Calabresi ↑ ·

Bonfanti ↓

81'

Lorran ↑ ·

Toure ↓

82'

Leris ↑ ·

Tramoni ↓

📊 Statistics

CAG 2 – 2 PIS

59%

Possession (%)

41%

1.46

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.52

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 2 – 2

45'

⚽

M. Tramoni (P)

Penalty · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

R. Idrissi ↓ · A. Obert ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Michel Adopo

Yellow Card

▮

52'

Yerry Mina

Yellow Card

▮

54'

G. Zappa ↓ · M. Adopo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

55'

M. Folorunsho

Assist · G. Zappa · 1–1

⚽

59'

L. Mazzitelli ↓ · M. Folorunsho ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

63'

67'

▮

Giovanni Bonfanti

Yellow Card

S. Kilicsoy

Assist · G. Gaetano · 2–1

⚽

71'

73'

⇄

I. Vural ↓ · M. Hojholt ↑

Substitution 1

74'

⇄

S. Moreo ↓ · G. Piccinini ↑

Substitution 2

74'

⇄

A. Calabresi ↓ · G. Bonfanti ↑

Substitution 3

Sebastiano Esposito

Yellow Card

▮

79'

81'

⇄

Lorran ↓ · I. Toure ↑

Substitution 4

N. Cavuoti ↓ · G. Gaetano ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

G. Borrelli ↓ · S. Kilicsoy ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

⇄

M. Leris ↓ · M. Tramoni ↑

Substitution 5

89'

⚽

S. Moreo

Assist · M. Leris · 2–2

90+3'

▮

Arturo Calabresi

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Cagliari and Pisa drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.52 to 1.46. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Tramoni (45'), M. Folorunsho (59'), S. Kilicsoy (71'), S. Moreo (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.09 units (Brier 0.284).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.66	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.83	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.26	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.06	—	41%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.46	—	34%	Cashed	+1.46	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.74	—	47%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.65	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.88	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	80%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.47	—	60%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.54	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.11	—	86%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Draw	3.32	—	28%	Cashed	+2.32	Cashed
Away Win	3.80	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.60	—	16%	Cashed	+3.60	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.09u	+6% ROI