Romania vs Sweden 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 4.20 — +14.2% better than the market.

Romania hosts Sweden in a UEFA Nations League clash where the home side struggles with recent form, failing to secure points in their last outings. Sweden arrives with better momentum, showing resilience and sharper finishing. The match hints at a cautious tempo, with odds favoring fewer goals and a tight defensive battle.

Sweden's recent wins suggest a pressing edge and better attacking cohesion.
Romania's home advantage is tempered by poor form and limited offensive threat.
Expect a compact block from Romania aiming to frustrate Sweden's advances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 4.20 ✗ Lost

AI 27% Implied 24% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ROM 4-2-3-1 · SWE 4-4-2

ROM · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · SWE

9 Tănase

Statistics

ROM 0 – 1 SWE

52%

Possession (%)

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sweden won 1–0 away at Romania. At half-time it was 0–1.

At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 6 landed and 7 missed, for a net +0.86 units (Brier 0.213).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 6 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.30	—	52%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
BTTS No	2.38	—	51%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.00	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.92	—	48%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.68	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.63	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	74%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	31%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Home Win	4.20	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.29	—	73%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Draw	3.96	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 7 L	+0.86u	+7% ROI

Romania vs Sweden 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled