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Ukraine vs Hungary 1:2: Match Review & Stats

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Ukraine
Ukraine
Home · last 5 W D L L
Kick-off
Mon 05 Oct · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Hungary
Hungary
L D W W Away · last 5
Štadión Antona Malatinského · Trnava Referee Igor Pajac
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.85 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 2.00 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 60% · book 1.63 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.00 — +14.7% better than the market.

Ukraine hosts Hungary in a UEFA Nations League clash where both sides show balanced form but cautious approaches are likely. Recent encounters hint at tight battles with Hungary edging the last meeting. Ukraine’s home momentum and compact defensive setup could stifle Hungary’s attack, while Hungary’s resilience and ability to absorb pressure suggest a low-scoring affair.

  • Ukraine’s home solidity vs Hungary’s disciplined defense
  • Both teams’ recent form signals cautious play
  • Odds favor a match under 2.5 goals, indicating a measured pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.00 ✗ Lost
AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

UKR 1 – 2 HUN
52%
Possession (%)
48%
17
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
3
13
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Hungary won 2–1 away at Ukraine. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -0.42 units (Brier 0.301).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.85 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.00 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.63 — 60% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Home Win 2.37 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 43% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.05 — 37% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.40 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.10 — 34% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Draw 3.52 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 5 L −0.42u −5% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
UKR – HUN @ 2.00
+14.7%
Edge
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