Netherlands vs Serbia 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.75 — +13.0% better than the market.

Netherlands host Serbia at Philips Stadion with clear home momentum. The Dutch show resilience in recent matches, while Serbia struggles with a poor run. Netherlands' compact block and pressing edge could stifle Serbia’s attack, limiting goal opportunities. Expect a controlled tempo with a moderate goal environment, favoring a tight contest.

Home side’s better form and home comfort
Serbia’s recent struggles and low scoring
Likely cautious approach with few clear chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.75 ✗ Lost

AI 65% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

NED 4-3-3 · SER 4-4-2

NED · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · SER

10 Lang

Statistics

NED 2 – 1 SER

65%

Possession (%)

35%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 14, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 6 landed and 7 missed, for a net -4.35 units (Brier 0.136).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 6 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.87	—	62%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
BTTS No	1.75	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.02	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.10	—	35%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Away Win	17.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.10	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	7.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	5.00	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	8.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.03	—	87%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Home Win	1.19	—	73%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.10	—	76%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.36	—	60%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 7 L	−4.35u	−33% ROI

Netherlands vs Serbia 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled