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Home › World › UEFA Nations League › Greece — Germany

Greece vs Germany 0:0: Match Review & Stats

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Greece
Greece
Home · last 5 W W D D
Kick-off
Sun 04 Oct · 18:45
0:0
Full-time
Germany
Germany
D L W D Away · last 5
Toumba Stadium · Thessaloniki Referee Clement Turpin
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.38 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.20 ✓
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 53% · book 1.91 ✓
Total goals
0
0 · 0
Possession
30% – 70%
AI accuracy
5 / 9
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.46 — +4.8% better than the market.

Greece shows strong home momentum with recent wins, contrasting Germany's mixed form. The home side's confidence could challenge Germany's typically disciplined defense. Expect a tactical battle where Greece's pressing edge and home support might disrupt Germany's rhythm.

  • Greece's recent winning streak boosts morale
  • Germany's defense tested by Greece's pressing
  • Moderate pace suggested by odds favors a controlled game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.46 ✗ Lost
AI 30% Implied 29% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GRE 0 – 0 GER
30%
Possession (%)
70%
5
Total Shots
21
2
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
10
5
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
17
3
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Greece and Germany drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 70% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 5, 4 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 5 landed and 4 missed, for a net +3.18 units (Brier 0.238).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 5 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.38 — 50% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.20 — 54% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.91 — 53% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Away Win 1.95 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.61 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.74 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.34 — 70% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Home Win 3.46 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.35 — 23% Cashed +3.35 Cashed
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 4 L +3.18u +35% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
GRE – GER @ 3.46
+4.8%
Edge
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