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Home › World › UEFA Nations League › Rep. Of Ireland — Israel

Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel 1:1: Match Review & Stats

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Rep. Of Ireland
Rep. Of Ireland
Home · last 5 L W D D
Kick-off
Sun 04 Oct · 18:45
1:1
Full-time
Israel
Israel
L L D D Away · last 5
Referee Juan Martinez Munuera
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 2.05 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.80 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 54% · book 1.79 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
7 / 13
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.80 — +14.9% better than the market.

Rep. Of Ireland shows a slight edge in recent form and points per game, suggesting home momentum could be key. Both sides have struggled to score consistently, hinting at a cautious, low-scoring encounter. The odds favor under 2.5 goals, aligning with a match likely to feature tight defensive setups and limited attacking breakthroughs.

  • Home side’s better recent results offer a pressing edge.
  • Both teams’ low scoring rates suggest a compact block.
  • Market odds imply a controlled tempo with few goal chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed
AI 64% Implied 56% +0.80u
+80%
ROI on stake

Statistics

IRE 1 – 1 ISR
55%
Possession (%)
45%
16
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
7
10
Shots Inside Box
5
3
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Rep. Of Ireland and Israel drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 10, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 7 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.14 units (Brier 0.184).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 7 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.05 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.80 — 64% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.79 — 54% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Home Win 2.10 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.85 — 43% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.10 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.25 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.29 — 83% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.30 — 72% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Away Win 3.75 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 27% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 — 61% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.56 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 6 L −0.14u −1% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
IRE – ISR @ 1.80
+14.9%
Edge
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