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Home › World › UEFA Nations League › Wales — Denmark

Wales vs Denmark 0:1: Match Review & Stats

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Wales
Wales
Home · last 5 L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 04 Oct · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Denmark
Denmark
L W L W Away · last 5
Cardiff City Stadium · Cardiff Referee Irfan Peljto
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 51% · book 2.01 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.65 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.35 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.90 — +14.1% better than the market.

Wales vs Denmark presents an intriguing tactical battle with Denmark holding a slight edge in recent form and offensive threat. Wales' recent struggles suggest a need for defensive solidity, while Denmark's ability to press and create chances could test the home side's resilience. The match may see a moderate tempo with both teams seeking to capitalize on set-pieces and transitional moments.

  • Denmark's sharper recent form offers momentum advantage
  • Wales likely to rely on compact defense and counter-attacks
  • Moderate goal environment expected, with chances on both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.90 ✗ Lost
AI 29% Implied 26% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

WAL 0 – 1 DEN
56%
Possession (%)
44%
6
Total Shots
13
1
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
6
4
Shots Inside Box
10
3
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Denmark won 1–0 away at Wales. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 6, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -1.10 units (Brier 0.238).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.01 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.65 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.35 — 41% Cashed +1.35 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 — 41% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Away Win 1.86 — 49% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Home Win 3.90 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.31 — 71% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Draw 4.54 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 5 L −1.10u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
WAL – DEN @ 3.90
+14.1%
Edge
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