Malta vs Andorra 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.56 — +12.5% better than the market.

This UEFA Nations League clash between Malta and Andorra hints at a cautious encounter with limited goal action. Both sides share similar recent form and points per game, suggesting a balanced contest. Malta's slightly better home momentum and higher expected goal rate offer a mild edge, but the low scoring history and tight defenses may keep the match compact.

Malta's home steadiness could pressure Andorra's defense.
Both teams show conservative attacking output.
Odds favor a low-scoring, closely fought game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.56 ✓ Cashed

AI 72% Implied 64% +0.56u

+56%

ROI on stake

Lineups

MAL 4-2-3-1 · AND 4-4-2

MAL · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · AND

11 Cardona

12 Álvarez

2 Borra

5 Llovera

22 Olivera

15 Nicolás

7 Martínez

23 Planes

3 Babot

17 Rodrigo

11 Rosas

10 López

Statistics

MAL 1 – 0 AND

55%

Possession (%)

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Malta beat Andorra 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.11 units (Brier 0.109).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 1.5	2.63	—	46%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.18	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.73	—	52%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.50	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.56	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.56	—	72%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
BTTS No	1.57	—	71%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Away Win	6.52	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.17	—	90%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	79%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.51	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.34	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	78%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.11u	−27% ROI

Malta vs Andorra 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled