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Home › World › UEFA Nations League › Switzerland — Slovenia

Switzerland vs Slovenia 2:1: Match Review & Stats

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Switzerland
Switzerland
Home · last 5 W W W W
Kick-off
Sat 03 Oct · 18:45
2:1
Full-time
Slovenia
Slovenia
D W L W Away · last 5
Swissporarena · Lucerne Referee Ivan Kruzliak
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 2.38 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.91 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 1.60 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
6 / 13
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 1.5 at 1.28 — +7.4% better than the market.

Switzerland arrives with strong home momentum, having won their last two matches, while Slovenia shows solid resilience with a recent win and draw. The home side’s slight edge in form and home advantage at Swissporarena suggest they will press forward confidently.

  • Switzerland’s compact block and set-piece threat could challenge Slovenia’s defense.
  • Slovenia’s disciplined approach may limit chances but risks conceding on counters.
  • The match hints at a balanced pace with potential for over 2.5 goals given attacking intent.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 1.5
Over 1.5 @ 1.28 ✓ Cashed
AI 84% Implied 78% +0.28u
+28%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SUI 2 – 1 SLO
67%
Possession (%)
33%
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
5
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

Switzerland beat Slovenia 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 6 landed and 7 missed, for a net -3.70 units (Brier 0.117).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 6 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.38 — 51% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.91 — 63% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS No 1.60 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.97 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 10.80 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.60 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 — 84% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.06 — 84% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Home Win 1.34 — 64% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Draw 5.26 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 — 58% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.80 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 7 L −3.70u −28% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 1.5
SUI – SLO @ 1.28
+7.4%
Edge
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