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Home › Italy › Serie A › Lazio — Cremonese

Predictions by Market: Lazio vs Cremonese

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lazio
Lazio
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 17:00
0:0
Full-time
Cremonese
Cremonese
L L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Luca Pairetto, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LAZ
51%
Best 1.60
Draw
24%
Best 3.75
Away Win · CRE
24%
Best 6.20
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.33
Fair odds
2.05
book 2.33 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +13.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (76%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 24.4%
Odds 6.13
Show model details
Implied probability 16.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.84
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.7%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.9%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 24.4%
Odds 4.48
Show model details
Implied probability 22.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75.6%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LAZ – CRE @ 2.33
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →