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Home › World › UEFA Nations League › Spain — Czechia

Spain vs Czechia 3:1: Match Review & Stats

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Spain
Spain
Home · last 5 W W W W
Kick-off
Sat 03 Oct · 18:45
3:1
Full-time
Czechia
Czechia
L L L L Away · last 5
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo Referee Vassilis Fotias
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.60 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 63% · book 1.67 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 37% · book 2.17 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.67 — +4.7% better than the market.

Spain enters this UEFA Nations League clash with strong home momentum, boasting recent wins and a perfect points record. Their solid defensive shape and efficient attack suggest they can control the game tempo, especially against a Czechia side struggling for form. The visitors' recent losses hint at a compact Spanish block suffocating their offensive attempts.

  • Home side's winning streak fuels confidence
  • Spain's defensive resilience likely to limit Czechia's chances
  • Match pace expected to be moderate, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.67 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 60% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ESP 3 – 1 CZE
69%
Possession (%)
31%
18
Total Shots
5
10
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
3
13
Shots Inside Box
2
5
Corner Kicks
0
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match recap

Spain beat Czechia 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 5, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -3.07 units (Brier 0.157).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.60 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.67 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.17 — 37% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Away Win 18.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.50 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.04 — 89% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Home Win 1.24 — 73% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.48 — 54% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 5 L −3.07u −34% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
ESP – CZE @ 1.67
+4.7%
Edge
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