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Home › World › UEFA Nations League › Croatia — England

Croatia vs England 0:7: Match Review & Stats

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Croatia
Croatia
Home · last 5 W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 03 Oct · 16:00
0:7
Full-time
England
England
L W W W Away · last 5
Stadion Rujevica · Rijeka Referee Sven Jablonski
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.15 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.06 ✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.01 ✓
Total goals
7
0 · 7
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.15 — +6.8% better than the market.

Croatia and England face off in a tight UEFA Nations League clash where recent form suggests a balanced contest. Both sides have shown resilience, with Croatia holding a slight home momentum and England bringing a strong away record. The match hints at a cautious tempo, supported by odds favoring under 2.5 goals, indicating a compact defensive setup from both teams.

  • Croatia's home edge could pressure England's defense.
  • England's away form signals potential for controlled attacks.
  • Expect tactical discipline and limited goal-scoring chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.15 ✓ Cashed
AI 50% Implied 47% +1.15u
+115%
ROI on stake

Statistics

CRO 0 – 7 ENG
36%
Possession (%)
64%
12
Total Shots
19
1
Shots on Target
10
6
Shots off Target
6
5
Shots Inside Box
16
1
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

England won 7–0 away at Croatia. At half-time it was 0–4.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 10 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -1.65 units (Brier 0.199).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.15 — 50% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.06 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.01 — 48% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.85 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.83 — 49% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.36 — 71% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Draw 4.30 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.32 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 5 L −1.65u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
CRO – ENG @ 2.15
+6.8%
Edge
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