Finland vs Albania 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.10 — +9.2% better than the market.

Finland hosts Albania in a UEFA Nations League clash where recent form favors the visitors, who have won their last two matches compared to Finland's mixed results. Albania's higher scoring potential and better recent points per game suggest they carry momentum into this fixture. The match hints at a balanced pace with moderate goal expectations, likely featuring tactical discipline from Finland's side and Albania's pressing threat.

Albania's strong recent form and scoring edge
Finland's home compactness and defensive focus
Moderate tempo suggesting a tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.10 ✗ Lost

AI 35% Implied 32% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

FIN 4-3-3 · ALB 4-3-3

FIN · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · ALB

22 Håkans

Statistics

FIN 2 – 1 ALB

60%

Possession (%)

40%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Finland beat Albania 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.08 units (Brier 0.160).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.38	—	49%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	53%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	2.47	—	37%	Cashed	+1.47	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.64	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.10	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.58	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	65%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.50	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.40	—	73%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.88	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.20	—	72%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−3.08u	−21% ROI

Finland vs Albania 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled