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Home England Premier League Chelsea — Aston Villa

Predictions Chelsea vs Aston Villa December 27, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 17:30
1:2
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Stuart Attwell, England
Home Win · CHE
49%
Best 1.80
Draw
24%
Best 3.86
Away Win · AST
28%
Best 4.33
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.26
Fair odds
2.13
book 2.26 · +5.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +5.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 27.5%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.98
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31.4%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.8%
Odds 14.90
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 51.3%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.